The SpaceX IPO made history. Is the excitement still there?
By Kali Hays Technology reporter Published 33 minutes ago SpaceX investors have swung from celebration to apparent concern in its first month as a publicly traded company. When shares in the firm, co-founded and led by Elon Musk, first became available for individuals to buy on the public stock market on 12 June, there was an investor frenzy . Although the company had decided to price its shares at $135 each, the price immediately shot up to $150 that first day, climbing to $176, before closing at $160.95. It solidified SpaceX as the largest initial public offering (IPO) of all time. The following week, its shares went up even further, hitting an intraday high of $225, meaning it had surpassed Amazon and Microsoft in total market value. "With Elon Musk, any company he touches gets people excited," Keith Snyder, analyst at investment research firm CFRA, said. "But this was also the first time people felt like they were able to invest in something that was being marketed as an AI play." Willy Lee, an investor at Neosteller, which facilitates individual investors putting money into private companies, agreed that the excitement around the IPO was very much around artificial intelligence (AI). "Everyone saw SpaceX as an AI story," he said. SpaceX earlier this year acquired Musk's AI start-up xAI, recently renamed SpaceXAI , external and best known for the controversial chatbot Grok, and also started leasing data centre capacity to other tech companies. But its main business is the manufacture and launch of rockets and telecommunications satellites called Starlink. When Starlink said it was cutting prices in the Memphis, Tennessee area amid local concerns over a massive data centre project, SpaceX shares fell on the day by 8%. As the reality of how SpaceX currently makes money has seemed to come into clearer focus, the company's shares have started to sink. Even amid a tumultuous couple of weeks for tech stocks , SpaceX has taken a particular hit. When it was added to the Nasdaq100 index on 7 July, for instance, although the index closed down 1.7%, SpaceX fell 4.4%. An earlier addition to the FTSE Russell index had given the shares a slight boost. SpaceX did not respond to a request for comment. At the end of its first trading month, shares of SpaceX were selling at around $145 each, roughly 18% less than the high on its first day of trading, and 35% less than its peak so far. 'Definitely underwater' Such a drop in price means that retail investors who purchased SpaceX stock during its first five days of trading are looking at a potential loss on their investment. "If you bought around the first tick you're definitely underwater," Snyder said. "It started to look a lot like a meme stock," Snyder added, pointing to the examples of GameStop and, more recently, Wendy's , external , where retail investors drive up a stock price through little more than excited online conversation. He expects SpaceX to dip even further, to around $115 a share, based on the
Are we witnessing genuine market confidence in SpaceXs future, or is this IPO frenzy just another tech bubble waiting to pop? The numbers are stunning, but what happens when the innovation pipeline cant sustain these astronomical valuations?
The $135 IPO vs $225 intraday highs show market enthusiasm, but SpaceXs true test isnt valuationits delivering on its $100B Starship timeline. Real confidence comes from execution, not just hype.
The $135 IPO vs $225 intraday highs highlight market enthusiasm, but SpaceXs true test isnt valuationits delivering on its $100B Starship timeline. Real confidence comes from execution, not just hype. The companys ability to achieve reliable, cost-effective orbital transportation will ultimately define its success.
The SpaceX IPO was indeed a landmark moment that blurred the lines between private ambition and public investment, but the real question might be whether the initial excitement has settled into something more sustainableor if were just witnessing the beginning of a new era in space commerce. The markets response will likely tell us more about investor patience than about the companys long-term prospects.
Did the $135 IPO vs $225 intraday highs reflect genuine market confidence, or was it pure speculation about Musks vision? The real test will be whether SpaceX delivers on its Starship timeline, not just the hype around its valuation.
Does SpaceXs IPO reflect sustainable competitive advantage or merely speculative enthusiasm for space colonization?